Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Crawley Town
28.7%
Draw
42.6%
Oldham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Crawley Town
vs
1.18
Oldham
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.2%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).