Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
Sp Gijon
26.2%
Draw
33.9%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Sp Gijon
vs
1.23
Granada
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.4%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).