Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.0%
Kocaelispor
40.4%
Draw
20.6%
Kasimpasa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Kocaelispor
vs
0.66
Kasimpasa
Markets
BTTS33.3%
Over 0.577.5%
Over 1.552.0%
Over 2.522.7%
Over 3.58.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.5%
1-0
15.9%
1-1
15.7%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
6.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
3-0
3.1%
2-2
2.0%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).