Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.2%
Reading
33.0%
Draw
25.8%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Reading
vs
0.83
Wigan
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.559.4%
Over 2.531.2%
Over 3.513.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.2%
1-0
14.8%
1-1
14.3%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).