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AHT: 01

31 Aug 2024 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.7%
Rizespor
29.8%
Draw
21.6%
Kasımpaşa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.70

Rizespor

vs
1.09

Kasımpaşa

Markets

BTTS57.2%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
9.0%
2-0
8.8%
1-0
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-0
5.0%
0-1
3.8%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).