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17 Dec 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.6%
West Brom
26.0%
Draw
16.4%
Rotherham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.65

West Brom

vs
0.77

Rotherham

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.9%
2-0
12.1%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).