Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.6%
Juventus
11.2%
Draw
6.2%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
2.99
Juventus
vs
0.72
Benevento
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.571.6%
Over 3.550.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.4%
4-1
5.9%
1-1
5.2%
5-0
4.8%
5-1
3.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).