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AHT: 00CSV

20 Apr 2018

Fulham

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.8%
Millwall
26.4%
Draw
46.8%
Fulham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Millwall

vs
1.61

Fulham

Markets

BTTS55.9%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
9.2%
0-2
8.1%
0-0
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
5.0%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).