Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.8%
Empoli
26.3%
Draw
19.0%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Empoli
vs
0.91
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
6.0%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).