Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.5%
Ath Madrid
24.9%
Draw
42.6%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Ath Madrid
vs
1.58
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS59.2%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
1-0
6.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.5%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).