Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.3%
Lugo
33.6%
Draw
40.1%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Lugo
vs
0.97
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS31.7%
Over 0.581.6%
Over 1.550.1%
Over 2.523.9%
Over 3.59.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.4%
0-1
18.0%
1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-0
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
0-3
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).