Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.8%
Newport County
22.7%
Draw
52.4%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Newport County
vs
1.75
Salford
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
5.2%
0-3
5.0%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).