Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.8%
Boavista
30.3%
Draw
36.8%
Estrela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Boavista
vs
1.19
Estrela
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
10.9%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).