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07 Jul 2024 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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76.1%
Rosenborg
16.9%
Draw
7.0%
Hoddesdon Town

Expected Goals (xG)

2.13

Rosenborg

vs
0.47

Hoddesdon Town

Markets

BTTS33.1%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
16.8%
1-0
15.9%
3-0
11.9%
2-1
7.9%
1-1
7.4%
0-0
7.4%
4-0
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.0%
5-0
2.7%
2-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).