Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.5%
Dunkerque
24.1%
Draw
31.4%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Dunkerque
vs
1.16
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.8%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).