Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
Burton
23.3%
Draw
40.1%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Burton
vs
1.43
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
0-1
9.8%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
0-0
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).