Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.7%
Gillingham
26.3%
Draw
47.0%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Gillingham
vs
1.37
Notts County
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.9%
0-0
9.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).