Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →87.1%
Lens
8.5%
Draw
4.4%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
3.29
Lens
vs
0.65
Metz
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.590.2%
Over 2.575.4%
Over 3.555.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.5%
2-0
10.5%
4-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
6.6%
5-0
6.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-1
4.1%
1-1
3.9%
3-2
2.5%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).