Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.8%
Troyes
22.4%
Draw
14.8%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Troyes
vs
0.66
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
2-0
13.6%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
9.0%
3-0
7.7%
0-1
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
4-0
3.2%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).