Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.3%
Kilmarnock
26.9%
Draw
31.8%
Aberdeen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Kilmarnock
vs
1.28
Aberdeen
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).