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28 Aug 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.5%
PAOK
19.1%
Draw
8.4%
Atromitos

Expected Goals (xG)

2.18

PAOK

vs
0.62

Atromitos

Markets

BTTS41.8%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.4%
1-0
12.5%
3-0
10.5%
1-1
9.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
1-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).