Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.4%
Dover Athletic
19.4%
Draw
65.2%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Dover Athletic
vs
2.41
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS62.0%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.568.5%
Over 3.547.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.5%
1-1
8.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.7%
0-3
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
2-3
4.3%
0-4
4.1%
0-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).