Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.4%
Cardiff
28.8%
Draw
42.8%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Cardiff
vs
1.38
Watford
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).