Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.5%
Portsmouth
19.9%
Draw
13.6%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Portsmouth
vs
0.67
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
2-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
9.1%
3-0
8.5%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).