Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Girona
27.3%
Draw
23.9%
Logrones
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Girona
vs
0.87
Logrones
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
10.4%
2-0
10.0%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).