Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.0%
Villarreal B
24.5%
Draw
46.5%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Villarreal B
vs
1.60
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).