Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.3%
Oldham
29.0%
Draw
20.7%
Altrincham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Oldham
vs
0.83
Altrincham
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.6%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).