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AHT: 10CSV

27 Oct 2024 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.5%
St. Gilloise
19.2%
Draw
8.3%
Cercle Brugge

Expected Goals (xG)

2.08

St. Gilloise

vs
0.56

Cercle Brugge

Markets

BTTS38.1%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.4%
1-0
14.3%
3-0
10.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
7.6%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
5.6%
0-1
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
2-2
2.4%
1-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).