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04 Oct 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.3%
Andorra
30.3%
Draw
31.5%
Leganes

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Andorra

vs
0.95

Leganes

Markets

BTTS40.3%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.4%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
13.1%
0-1
12.6%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).