Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.8%
Mirandes
29.7%
Draw
28.4%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Mirandes
vs
0.90
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
11.6%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).