Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.0%
Vallecano
28.0%
Draw
27.0%
Logrones
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Vallecano
vs
0.94
Logrones
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
10.1%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).