Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.8%
Schalke 04
17.0%
Draw
73.2%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Schalke 04
vs
2.47
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.541.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.7%
1-1
8.0%
1-3
7.7%
0-4
5.8%
1-4
4.7%
0-0
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
2-3
3.1%
2-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).