Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.8%
Benevento
30.2%
Draw
27.0%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Benevento
vs
1.01
Spezia
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
11.0%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).