Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.6%
Blackburn
35.0%
Draw
36.4%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Blackburn
vs
0.97
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS36.1%
Over 0.582.3%
Over 1.554.8%
Over 2.526.9%
Over 3.510.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.7%
0-1
15.0%
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-0
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
2-2
2.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).