Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.2%
Plymouth
29.2%
Draw
29.6%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Plymouth
vs
0.90
Accrington
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
12.5%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).