Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.2%
Osasuna
11.8%
Draw
4.9%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.83
Osasuna
vs
0.58
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.544.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.2%
3-0
12.5%
1-0
9.2%
4-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
1-1
5.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-0
5.0%
0-0
3.5%
5-1
2.9%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).