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28 Sept 2025 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.6%
Viborg FF
19.3%
Draw
19.0%
Fredericia

Expected Goals (xG)

2.51

Viborg FF

vs
1.38

Fredericia

Markets

BTTS69.2%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.574.5%
Over 3.554.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.9%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.4%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-0
5.4%
3-2
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
4-1
4.7%
1-0
4.6%
4-0
3.4%
4-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).