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26 Jul 2020 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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73.6%
Vålerenga
14.3%
Draw
12.1%
Strømsgodset

Expected Goals (xG)

2.95

Vålerenga

vs
1.16

Strømsgodset

Markets

BTTS65.1%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.591.6%
Over 2.577.7%
Over 3.558.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-0
7.0%
4-1
6.0%
1-1
5.6%
4-0
5.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-2
4.7%
5-1
3.5%
4-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).