Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.6%
Mainz
23.7%
Draw
51.7%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Mainz
vs
1.93
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.5%
0-1
7.0%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
0-3
4.8%
0-0
4.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
2-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).