Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.2%
West Brom
25.7%
Draw
55.1%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
West Brom
vs
1.84
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.7%
0-1
9.1%
0-0
7.2%
1-3
6.1%
0-3
6.0%
2-1
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
3.1%
2-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).