Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.0%
Benevento
24.4%
Draw
46.6%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Benevento
vs
1.59
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.0%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).