Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.4%
Monaco
23.3%
Draw
33.3%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Monaco
vs
1.41
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.0%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
0-0
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).