Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.7%
Tadley Calleva
15.7%
Draw
18.6%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
2.97
Tadley Calleva
vs
1.60
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS75.5%
Over 0.599.1%
Over 1.594.0%
Over 2.583.3%
Over 3.566.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
7.3%
3-1
7.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-2
5.8%
4-1
5.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-2
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
4-0
3.4%
1-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).