Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.1%
Toulouse
26.9%
Draw
18.0%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Toulouse
vs
0.66
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS36.2%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.1%
2-0
12.4%
0-0
12.4%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).