Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.0%
Albacete
26.9%
Draw
31.2%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Albacete
vs
1.11
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
0-0
8.5%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).