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AHT: 11CSV

17 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.4%
Kasimpasa
33.0%
Draw
24.5%
Kayserispor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Kasimpasa

vs
1.04

Kayserispor

Markets

BTTS52.3%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.8%
0-0
11.7%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
5.7%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).