Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →88.0%
Porto
10.0%
Draw
2.0%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
2.75
Porto
vs
0.29
Boavista
Markets
BTTS23.5%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
18.2%
3-0
16.7%
1-0
12.9%
4-0
11.4%
5-0
6.3%
2-1
5.2%
0-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
1-1
4.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
0-1
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).