Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.5%
Alessandria
30.8%
Draw
31.7%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Alessandria
vs
1.10
Benevento
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).