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AHT: 10CSV

17 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Burton

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.0%
Leyton Orient
22.1%
Draw
25.9%
Burton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.71

Leyton Orient

vs
1.12

Burton

Markets

BTTS54.2%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
0-0
5.0%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).