Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.4%
Laval
34.5%
Draw
33.1%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Laval
vs
0.76
Bastia
Markets
BTTS27.1%
Over 0.579.0%
Over 1.543.6%
Over 2.519.4%
Over 3.56.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
21.0%
0-1
17.8%
1-0
17.6%
1-1
11.6%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
1.8%
0-3
1.6%
3-0
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).